Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.166115 0.189448 0.215374 0.246404 0.282644 0.323764 0.374144
2026-01-18 0.132182 0.163889 0.202658 0.253946 0.320597 0.405081 0.521549
2026-01-25 0.110096 0.144822 0.190292 0.255014 0.346114 0.471802 0.661910
2026-02-01 0.094770 0.130563 0.180031 0.254701 0.366878 0.532933 0.804671
2026-02-08 0.082830 0.118555 0.170193 0.252094 0.382173 0.586861 0.945957
2026-02-15 0.073376 0.108527 0.161346 0.248824 0.394781 0.637404 1.090966
2026-02-22 0.067751 0.103343 0.158821 0.254579 0.422131 0.715990 1.301095
2026-03-01 0.061146 0.095731 0.151341 0.250788 0.432115 0.765435 1.467413
2026-03-08 0.056308 0.090351 0.146729 0.251022 0.448905 0.829733 1.677546
2026-03-15 0.052084 0.085486 0.142332 0.250865 0.464642 0.894385 1.903636
2026-03-22 0.049307 0.082768 0.141282 0.256602 0.492523 0.988421 2.219462
2026-03-29 0.046573 0.079817 0.139437 0.260465 0.517067 1.079824 2.553585
2026-04-05 0.043993 0.076945 0.137525 0.264171 0.542447 1.179474 2.941606
2026-04-12 0.042029 0.075020 0.137200 0.271106 0.576237 1.306249 3.444249
2026-04-19 0.039578 0.071924 0.134248 0.272066 0.596558 1.404626 3.898926
2026-04-26 0.037234 0.068806 0.130907 0.271701 0.613652 1.498501 4.372561
2026-05-03 0.034879 0.065448 0.126726 0.268890 0.624273 1.577542 4.827142
2026-05-10 0.032683 0.062216 0.122480 0.265369 0.632520 1.651946 5.294103
2026-05-17 0.031527 0.061000 0.122373 0.271563 0.667228 1.810774 6.128247
2026-05-24 0.029620 0.058058 0.118238 0.267482 0.673525 1.885989 6.676607
2026-05-31 0.028208 0.056046 0.115966 0.267735 0.692006 2.003974 7.449549
2026-06-07 0.026875 0.054094 0.113643 0.267565 0.709319 2.122767 8.282114
2026-06-14 0.026077 0.053244 0.113756 0.273741 0.746599 2.318951 9.562452